Russia launched a massive overnight barrage on July 18–19, firing Iskander and Kh-101 missiles and swarms of Shahed drones that hit energy and civilian sites. Kyiv touted a prospective US–Ukraine “drone deal” to scale production.
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Top executives at Russia’s biggest lenders are privately mapping how to seek state recapitalization if bad loans keep climbing. Official NPLs look manageable and buffers are large, but restructurings mask risk. 2017-style bailouts could return.
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Washington’s new approach pairs a NATO-financed surge of U.S. air defenses and artillery with threats of sweeping secondary tariffs, aiming to slow Russia’s advances, harden Ukraine’s skies, and force the Kremlin toward talks on terms Kyiv can accept.
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Facing mounting losses and public resistance to a draft, the Kremlin is quietly rewarding police who coerce detainees and marginalized people into enlistment. Bonuses range from 10,000 to 100,000 rubles, revealing a systemic, covert mobilization.
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Russian troops widened a new salient northeast of Velykyi Burluk and may try to seize Khatnie, but the Velykyi Burluk River line could slow them. If Velykyi Burluk falls, Russian artillery could threaten Vovchansk and Dvorichna, enabling a northern buffer zone.
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ISW’s July 10 update says Moscow clings to maximal aims while using diplomacy to court U.S. ties. Russian forces made small gains near Borova, Toretsk, and Novopavlivka and struck Kyiv. Allies resumed aid and air-defense pledges, underscoring Ukraine’s resilience.
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Europe’s human rights court delivered a landmark judgment on July 9, 2025, holding Russia responsible for the downing of MH17 and systemic abuses in occupied Ukrainian territories since 2014, from killings and torture to child deportations, despite Moscow’s noncooperation.
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