Despite challenges and setbacks in the Avdiivka front, Russian forces are reportedly reinforcing their positions in the region. Milbloggers and sources suggest that a major push on October 19-20 failed, resulting in heavy losses for Russian forces. Challenges include Ukrainian counterattacks, fortified areas, and difficulties overcoming minefields. The Avdiivka waste heap area is described as a contested “gray zone.” A Kremlin-affiliated milblogger discusses difficulties contributing to a “positional deadlock,” citing the static front line and vulnerability of armored vehicles to precision weapons.

Ukrainian sources claim that Russian forces are transferring personnel to Avdiivka despite heavy losses. The Tavriisk Group of Forces Spokesperson indicates the deployment of Russian military personnel from Russian territory to replace losses. The transfer of Russian regiments, including the 57th Motorized Rifle Regiment, to the Avdiivka direction suggests a continued Russian commitment to operations in the region.

Ukrainian counteroffensive operations are reported near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast, maintaining pressure despite active hostilities in the Avdiivka direction. Russian forces conduct missile and drone strikes on Ukraine, targeting locations like the “Nova Poshta” terminal and Kostyantynivka. The article also highlights the use of anti-migrant rhetoric in the Russian information space, exploiting demographic decline concerns.

A Russian milblogger and frontline commander criticize top-down censorship campaigns, calling for honest reporting to gain public support. The ideological campaign of deceased Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin against the Russian Ministry of Defense persists, with accusations against top military officials.

Read more at the ISW.