According to the survey titled “Foreign Policy and Security: Ukrainian Society’s Mood–2025,” conducted for the New Europe Center, a significant portion of Ukrainians remain wary of Russia’s intentions. The survey, presented by the center’s director, Serhiy Solodky, highlights that 86.7% of respondents believe Russia will attack Ukraine again after a brief pause. Only 9.5% think that a frozen conflict could lead to lasting peace.

The study indicates that the idea of a “frozen” conflict is not seen as a viable path to enduring peace by the Ukrainian public. This sentiment is echoed by the survey’s authors, who note the general skepticism among Ukrainians regarding this scenario.

When it comes to negotiations with Russia, the Ukrainian stance remains firm. Nearly two-thirds of respondents (64.9%) assert that Ukraine should not engage in talks without security guarantees from the West. This figure is nearly unchanged from 2024, where it stood at 64.1%. Meanwhile, 30.7% of respondents are open to negotiations even without such guarantees. Overall, there is a prevailing skepticism towards negotiations perceived as mere formalities.

During an online presentation of the survey findings, Ukraine’s Ambassador to NATO, Alyona Hetmanchuk, commented on the societal trauma caused by past agreements like the Budapest Memorandum and the Minsk negotiation process. She emphasized the importance of reliable security guarantees, as reflected in the survey results.

The research was conducted by Info Sapiens LLC for the New Europe Center from November 5 to 26, 2025. It involved 1,000 respondents and utilized the CATI method (computer-assisted telephone interviews) based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers. The sample is representative of Ukraine’s population aged 16 and older, considering gender, age, region, and settlement size before the full-scale invasion. The theoretical margin of error does not exceed 3.1% with a confidence level of 0.95%. The survey did not cover temporarily occupied territories such as Crimea, Sevastopol, and parts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, nor areas without Ukrainian mobile service.

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