Russia has expedited its military readiness plans targeting European states, moving the timeline from 2030 to as early as 2027. This revelation was made by Kyrylo Budanov, Head of Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence, during an LB Club event on December 20.
Budanov highlighted that the Kremlin’s primary focus in such a scenario would be the Baltic states, specifically identifying Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia as the most probable initial targets. He noted that the original plan had Russia prepared to commence operations in 2030, but the timeline has been revised to 2027.
According to Budanov, Russia’s strategic approach is less about immediate tactical needs and more about deep-seated imperial ambitions. Moscow perceives expansion as crucial for maintaining what it considers an empire, viewing the West as weakened and vulnerable.
Budanov explained that Russia’s worldview is shaped by historical and psychological factors, describing them as ‘phantom pains.’ He elaborated that Russia sees itself as an empire that must continuously expand its influence and territory. This mindset, he argued, explains many of Russia’s actions.
He further stated that Russia sees no feasible expansion to the north or east due to the presence of the United States, nor to the south because of China. Consequently, western countries, particularly the Baltic region, are viewed as the most likely targets for future aggression.
Previously, Budanov mentioned that a significant opportunity to end the conflict with Russia might arise in February 2026. In an interview with Ukraine’s Channel 24, he emphasized that a combination of critical internal and external factors must align to create a real chance for peace.
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