Top executives at Russia’s biggest lenders are privately mapping how to seek state recapitalization if bad loans keep climbing. Official NPLs look manageable and buffers are large, but restructurings mask risk. 2017-style bailouts could return.
ECHR rules Russia guilty of widespread abuses and MH17 downing
Europe’s human rights court delivered a landmark judgment on July 9, 2025, holding Russia responsible for the downing of MH17 and systemic abuses in occupied Ukrainian territories since 2014, from killings and torture to child deportations, despite Moscow’s noncooperation.
False-flag risk on Victory Day: InformNapalm warns of FSB plot
A report citing InformNapalm warns Russia’s FSB may stage terrorist incidents during regional 9 May parades, leaving sites like Khabarovsk and Ulan-Ude under-secured to create a spectacle blaming Ukraine, spur mobilization, and derail peace efforts. Amid heavy propaganda.
UK intel: Russia’s 2025 casualty rate points to record year
UK Defence Intelligence’s 3 May update estimates Russia has suffered about 950,000 casualties since 2022, including roughly 160,000 in the first four months of 2025. At current rates, this year could be the deadliest yet—despite minimal territorial gains for Moscow.
From Tanks to Trolls: How Kremlin Fakes Captured the White House
After failing on the battlefield, Moscow shifted to cognitive war—seeding viral lies, funding U.S. influencers, and exploiting diaspora and EU networks—to stall aid and bend debate. The result: low-cost fakes reaching high offices and eroding support for Ukraine.
Catholic Investigator Says Russia’s Torture Aims to Erase Ukraine
French priest Patrick Desbois, famed for documenting Holocaust mass graves, now records Russian-run torture in occupied Ukraine. His team concludes the FSB’s system aims to erase Ukrainian identity—meeting Genocide Convention criteria—and has filed evidence with EU courts
Russia Fields 1952 GAZ-69 Trucks as War Losses De-Mechanize Army
Facing massive armor losses, Russia is fielding 1950s-era GAZ-69 trucks—some with crude anti-drone cages—as assault transports. The move signals accelerating de-mechanization: civilian vehicles now fill combat roles, revealing shortages and rising battlefield risk.
Trump Envoy Witkoff Lauds Putin, Echoing Kremlin Talking Points
After two Moscow meetings, Trump envoy Steve Witkoff told Tucker Carlson he found Putin “honest” and suggested Kyiv may need to relinquish occupied regions and NATO ambitions. Analysts blasted his remarks as recycling Kremlin narratives and misstatements about Kursk.
Russia’s Putin Has Given Vague Conditions for a Ceasefire
Putin has given a vague response to US Trump’s ceasefire proposal, expressing support in principle while adding demands that ensure a deadlock. Officials in Kyiv hope his hesitation will reinforce their argument that the Kremlin has no interest in ending the war.
Russian Forces Collapsing in Northern Kursk Region
Russian forces are collapsing the northern part of the Ukrainian salient in Kursk oblast following several days of intensified Russian activity in the area. The correlation between the suspension of US intelligence sharing and the start of Russia’s collapse is noteworthy.
US and Ukrainian Officials Prepare to Meet in Saudi Arabia this Week
As US and Ukrainian officials prepare to meet in Saudi Arabia this week, President Trump has privately made clear to aides that a signed minerals deal between Washington and Kyiv won’t be enough to restart aid and intelligence sharing, according to an administration official.
Russia Conscription Via Temporarily Occupied Territories
Russia has forcibly conscripted thousands of Ukrainians from the temporarily occupied territories in Ukraine, surpassing its 2024 mobilization plan by 104%, as Moscow seeks to minimize its current war costs by having Ukrainians fight against their own people.
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