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Tag: Kremlin

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 9, 2024

The rapid collapse of the Assad regime in Syria – a regime that the Kremlin helped prop up since 2015 – is a strategic political defeat for Moscow and has thrown the Kremlin into a crisis as it seeks to retain its strategic military bases in Syria. The Kremlin reportedly secured an agreement on December 8 with unspecified Syrian opposition leaders to ensure the security of Russian military bases in Syria, but the contours of this arrangement and its longevity remain unclear given the volatile and rapidly evolving political situation on the ground in Syria. The loss of Russian bases in Syria will have major implications for Russia’s global military footprint and ability to operate in Africa – ISW.

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 7, 2024

On August 7, 2023, Ukrainian forces achieved confirmed advances of up to 10 kilometers into Russia’s Kursk Oblast during ongoing mechanized offensive operations on Russian territory. Geolocated footage from August 6 and 7 indicated that Ukrainian armored vehicles reached positions along the 38K-030 route, approximately 10 kilometers from the border. Reports suggest that Ukrainian forces have penetrated at least two Russian defensive lines and seized significant territory, with at least 45 square kilometers claimed as captured since the operation began. Ukrainian forces reportedly took control of several settlements, including Nikolaevo-Daryino and Darino, and were actively operating within Lyubimovka. Russian...

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